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This week's 3 EV swing stems from a striking Hays Research Group poll which showed Obama ahead 45-40% in AK. This 5% lead just eclipses the poll's 4.9% margin of error and moves AK from lean McCain to solid Obama. It should be noted, however, that Hays surveyed adults while the previous three AK polls -- which all showed McCain ahead -- surveyed LVs. If Obama were to carry AK in Nov., he woul...